What our portfolios did after drawdowns
The public market-returns research shows what the index did after a decline. This is the version that matters to a member: the same analysis run on 25 years of backtested history for each Advising Alpha portfolio. For every month we measured how far the portfolio sat below its own high, then measured what the next one, three, and five years delivered. Then we did it again using the broad market's decline, to answer the harder question: when the market was falling, how did this portfolio behave next?
In every one of our portfolios, when the S&P 500 was 30% or more below its all-time high, the following twelve months were positive 100% of the time. The deepest declines have historically been the best forward entry points, not the worst.
See the full per-portfolio drawdown analysis
The forward one, three, and five-year returns from every level of drawdown, for Core 20, Market Masters, Tepper Tactical, and BioTech 10, plus how each portfolio behaved after the broad market fell. Pro is $599 per year. The rate locks for life as long as your subscription stays current. 14-day money-back guarantee.
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How to read this
This is observational, not a timing signal. The deepest bands hold only a handful of months, the forward windows overlap, and the numbers are backtested. The durable takeaway is the one that is hard to act on emotionally: across a quarter century, the moments that felt worst were, on the evidence, the moments with the strongest history ahead of them.
Advising Alpha does not market-time. The methodology is buy, research, adjust, hold through cycles. This is a lens on the terrain, not a route.